What discipline are you approaching it from because I see you have well bred there, Eugenics isn't around any more matey.
An advanced civilsation would be extremly hard to govern, purely down to personnal freedoms and a well educated electorate.
Anyway back on topic,
My score prediction
3-1
back off-topic, I used it to show that there is no way in today world to classify a country as civilzation
Civilzation isn't a modern word, and it has no grip in today's world, thats way your all case is iirelevant.
Actually all three factors aren't relevant to "modern" countries. The whole world is an "advance" civilzation because of the global-village effect and many other factors such as mendatory education, civil rights and so on (at least most countries, but not most pepole unfortunately ).
back on topic,
I agree with your prediction.