Those pass or shoot scenario, most of the time I think NG should pass the ball, especially he is one of the player that run the most doing pressure etc, from that position his shoot will be either 1. blocked by defender 2. Going high because press from defender 3. not have much power and easy to anticipate by goal keeper. The best outcome if the shoots is on target is a corner kick.
If he pass the chance for goal is higher, because Kolo is free from defender mark, he has a better angle to choose where he will shoot, the shoot will have a better power when he launch it. The chance for the shoot is on target is much higher from Kolo's position, so it is either it is blocked by the GK (last player), or it will become a goal. If it is blocked there are 2 possible outcomes, it is either become a 2nd ball that can become a goal, or blocked outside to become a corner
From these scenario, we will have 2 chances to have clear cut chances, and 1 chances for it to become a corner if he pass to Kolo. And compare it to lower chance for a corner will be a differentiate we can win the game or not in a tight games
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