Heh, well I doubt the Russian Federation will let the same thing happen to them, which happened to ex-Yugoslavia. Look what happened in Chechnya.
Yugoslavia -> Break up to Serbia & Montenegro/Croatia/BiH/Slovenia/FYROM
Serbia & Montenegro -> Serbia
Serbia -> Decreased territory after Kosovo
Actually, it's Georgia that's going to break up, no?
Georgia minus the territories of South Ossetia, and Abkhazia. North Ossetia isn't an issue I guess since it lies in Russian mainland.
Expecting two new republics in the next few years then...
From a Lebanese perspective, this Russian intervention in Georgia reminds me alot of the Syrian intervention in Lebanon: They come in as a "peacekeeping force" but bomb, loot, cause chaos...