Typical 2nd gear performance in the second half by Italy, did nothing with the ball and just spent the game trying to deal with crosses. 1-0 was never going to be enough, because if you sit back and try to soak up pressure against an ultra physical and direct team, facing duel after duel and cross after cross, then eventually something will break for them, someone will make a mistake, you always get at least one good chance and the guy took it. Chiellini made a ridiculously rookie mistake that he will make every 30 games, and that's all you need.
Croatia needed few real chances to score, Italy wasted several, and the pitty-patty nonsense around the area by Cassano et al was like watching Arsenal. There were clear shots to be had, real scoring chances. It was almost too easy at times, they knew they could create chances so were not clinical. Second half was just a non-event from an Italy perspective. They dealt with most of it but their apparent comfort at 1-0 was false.
So nothing changes, Italy again making it difficult for themselves. Croatia gave it their all and deserve the point.
I think if Spain beat Ireland as expected then Spain and Croatia can play out a draw in the last game and both go through, which is great. Although I expect Spain will be too arrogant with the Barcelona contingent to settle for a draw there.