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Dead serious. Do you realise that the 4th placed team in Italy will have to face a team coming from one of the other big leagues? With a bit of bad luck (English team, Spanish team, German team), we won't even have a 50% chance.

What Neutrol said. 4th position means a qualifier, against another team coming from a strong competition. So that's still only about a 50% chance of getting in the CL.

But even if we do end the season in 4th place, we are NOT guaranteed CL qualification.

Difficult question to answer right now. If we get our act together, I do see us staying ahead of / overtaking Lazio, Udinese & Palermo. But then we would still need Napoli to screw up, and I am far from certain of that happening.