[ENG] Premiership 2006/2007 (3 Viewers)

northbank

Junior Member
Mar 22, 2006
232
I know, but Liverpool has been rather consistent at home in contrast to Arsenal. One thing team cannot do is to loose point against weaker teams at home. That is 2 dropped point which others will pick. It puts your team at harder position to move up the standings because winning away is not a simple thing even against likes of Fulham.

This is precisely the reason why I am not convinced by Gunners. Good teams just don't give away points against inferior opposition at home games. I do expect them to qualify for CL, but I have feeling those pesky, physical Bolton with genuine scorer in their hand now might just give you good run for money.
It's only an issue if you don't pick up the points elsewhere; which we have done.

Bolton have no chance of breaking into the top four; of that I am certain, they won't even come close.

We will finish above Liverpool too.
 

Jun-hide

Senior Member
Dec 16, 2002
2,068
It's only an issue if you don't pick up the points elsewhere; which we have done.

Bolton have no chance of breaking into the top four; of that I am certain, they won't even come close.

We will finish above Liverpool too.
Yes Arsenal has been pretty good at picking up points elsewhere but banking on away game is far more riskier proposition than taking all three points at home. Also, in order to guaranteed a place in Europe teams need to go on a 5 to 6 games where they consistently win. Arsenal's form has been patchy at its best.

I think Arsenal will make it but I suspect the race is a whole lot closer than you think. Bolton was consistently challenging for that 4th 5th place for last couple of years if I am correct. They have signed up a genuine goal-getter in Anelka. That makes a lot of difference IMO. Arsenal really needs to win those home bankers.
 

sateeh

Day Walker
Jul 28, 2003
8,020
Bolton r winning the close game and big sam is showing his "grinding" out results skills very well.Something that arsenal r not doing.
 

Marc

Softcore Juventino
Jul 14, 2006
21,649
IMO competition for 4th place will be between Arsenal and Tottenham.

Tottenham is a very good team and they found their form lately, they built even stronger squad than last season when they have been robbed of their 4th place by Arsenal in the last game. :yuck:

1. Chelsea
2. ManUre
3. Liverpool
4. Arsenal/Tottenham
 

Jun-hide

Senior Member
Dec 16, 2002
2,068
IMO competition for 4th place will be between Arsenal and Tottenham.

Tottenham is a very good team and they found their form lately, they built even stronger squad than last season when they have been robbed of their 4th place by Arsenal in the last game. :yuck:

1. Chelsea
2. ManUre
3. Liverpool
4. Arsenal/Tottenham
At first, I thought Spurs would be too far out due to their atrocious form at the beginning of the season, but I realize they are only two points out. Whilst Arsenal starts as a favorite, I wouldnt entirely rule out Tottenham idea. Good call Mark.

So I decided to break down the schedule list to see how hard for each team to gain a point from here on

Arsenal

Sat, 23rd H Blackburn (PREM.)
15:00 -
Tue, 26th A Watford (PREM.)
17:30 -
Sat, 30th A Sheff Utd (PREM.)
17:15 -
January
Tue, 2nd H Charlton (PREM.)
19:45 -
Sat, 6th A Liverpool (F.A.)
17:15 -
Tue, 9th A Liverpool (C.C.)
19:45 -
Sat, 13th A Blackburn (PREM.)
17:15 -
Sun, 21st H Man Utd (PREM.)
16:00 -
Tue, 30th H Man City (PREM.)
19:45 -
February
Sat, 3rd A Middlesbro (PREM.)
17:15 -
Sun, 11th H Wigan (PREM.)
16:00 -
Tue, 20th A PSV (U.C.L.)
19:45 -
Sat, 24th A Aston Villa (PREM.)
15:00 -
March
Sat, 3rd H Reading (PREM.)
15:00 -
Wed, 7th H PSV (U.C.L.)
19:45 -
Sat, 17th A Everton (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 31st A Liverpool (PREM.)
15:00 -
April
Sat, 7th H West Ham (PREM.)
15:00 -
Mon, 9th A Newcastle (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 14th H Bolton (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 21st A Tottenham (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 28th H Fulham (PREM.)
15:00 -
May
Sat, 5th H Chelsea (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sun, 13th A Portsmouth (PREM.)
15:00 -

Arsenal have 10 home matches, and out of these only 3 looks like a difficult tie. 7wins 2draw 1 loss seems like reasonable, but more realistically I think 6 wins 3draws 1loss is likely on their present form. But the fixture we have to really focus is their away ones. Apart from the two coming up in next week or so, all their away games are losable ones. So as a reply to our dear friend North Bank, who claimed not winning at home doesnt matter as long as you pick points somewhere else, it seems Arsenal points picked up were partly due to the favoring schedule they faced. Yes Arsenal has been pretty solid with a win in Old Trafford and a draw against Chelsea, but they also lost to Bolton and Fulham. As I have said, Arsenal has to win those home bankers from now on for the European places.

Here is Spurs Fixture

Sat, 23rd A Newcastle (PREM.)
15:00 -
Tue, 26th H Aston Villa (PREM.)
13:00 -
Sat, 30th H Liverpool (PREM.)
15:00 -
January
Mon, 1st A Portsmouth (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sun, 7th A Cardiff (F.A.)
16:00 -
Sun, 14th H Newcastle (PREM.)
16:00 -
Sat, 20th A Fulham (PREM.)
15:00 -
Wed, 31st A Everton (PREM.)
20:00 -
February
Sun, 4th H Man Utd (PREM.)
16:00 -
Sat, 10th A Sheff Utd (PREM.)
15:00 -
Wed, 14th A Feyenoord (UEFA)
0:00 -
Thu, 22nd H Feyenoord (UEFA)
0:00 -
Sat, 24th H Bolton (PREM.)
15:00 -
March
Sat, 3rd A West Ham (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 17th H Watford (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 31st H Reading (PREM.)
15:00 -
April
Sat, 7th A Chelsea (PREM.)
15:00 -
Mon, 9th H Blackburn (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 14th A Wigan (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 21st H Arsenal (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sat, 28th A Middlesbro (PREM.)
15:00 -
May
Sat, 5th A Charlton (PREM.)
15:00 -
Sun, 13th H Man City (PREM.)

Without going into details, unlike Arsenal, a lot of Spurs hard game is at home. Now I don't think they are going to win all those. My bet is they are lucky to win half of those matches and pick up odd draw or two along the way. Just like Arsenal's away form was largely a factor of schedule they faced, Tottenham's good home record is a product of playing inferior opposition. But their away fixture isnt anywhere near as that of Gunners, and even considering their dismal away from, you would expect them to pick up points along the way, especially towards end of season.

On the balance of things, it seems Arsenal have somewhat more difficult fixtures coming up. And (2) they have favorable schedule early meetings from now on, whilst Spurs enjoy milder games towards the end (This is exact opposite from last season). I feel Arsenal has to be about 6 points clear with 4 or 5 games to go to be safe.
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,661
The English are the crazy, with their Holiday test of manhood, but hey why should we complain? That only means we get to watch more football.
 

Enron

Tickle Me
Moderator
Oct 11, 2005
75,661
I just want to give a big "screw you" to away matches in the Premiership and also that I wish I had Benny McCarthy on my team.

The Spurs are next, please be gentle Mr. Berbatov.

PS. I hope my Reds realize that no kid asks for a Christmas gift of 0-2 over the holiday break.
 

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